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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Oct 28, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Luís Alfonso Giagni
DY

Sportivo
1 - 2
Defensa

Vera (8')
Dure (49'), (90+6')
Ortega (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pizzini (30'), Romero (55')
Romero (55')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Sportivo Luqueno and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Sportivo LuquenoDrawDefensa y Justicia
24.58%24.48%50.93%
Both teams to score 53.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08%48.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99%71.01%
Sportivo Luqueno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64%34.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94%71.06%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79%19.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1%50.9%
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Luqueno 24.58%
    Defensa y Justicia 50.93%
    Draw 24.48%
Sportivo LuquenoDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 7.05%
2-1 @ 6.21%
2-0 @ 3.77%
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 24.58%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 6.6%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 10.88%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 8.98%
1-3 @ 5.28%
0-3 @ 4.94%
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 2.18%
0-4 @ 2.04%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 50.93%


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