SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | FC Zurich |
43.74% ( 0.16) | 23.44% ( -0.05) | 32.81% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 62.53% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.93% ( 0.21) | 39.06% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.61% ( 0.22) | 61.39% ( -0.22) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% ( 0.15) | 18.24% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.72% ( 0.25) | 49.27% ( -0.25) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( 0.04) | 23.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( 0.05) | 57.56% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.69% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.81% |
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