SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 1-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Lugano |
52.33% ( -0) | 21.6% ( -0) | 26.07% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 64.55% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.57% ( -0.01) | 34.42% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.65% ( -0.01) | 56.34% ( 0.01) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( -0) | 13.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.61% ( -0.01) | 40.38% ( 0.01) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% | 25.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% ( -0) | 60.26% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 6.89% 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.31% 3-0 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.27% 4-3 @ 0.99% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.08% Total : 52.33% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 3.42% 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.6% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.94% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.01% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.07% |
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