SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
42.48% ( 0.03) | 26.63% ( -0.03) | 30.88% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.13% ( 0.1) | 53.87% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.67% ( 0.08) | 75.33% ( -0.08) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( 0.06) | 25.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.2% ( 0.08) | 59.79% ( -0.08) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.94% ( 0.05) | 32.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.47% ( 0.06) | 68.53% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.88% |
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