SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
30.72% ( -0.16) | 25.12% ( -0) | 44.16% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% ( -0.05) | 47.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( -0.05) | 69.86% ( 0.05) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.14) | 29.03% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% ( -0.17) | 64.93% ( 0.17) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( 0.05) | 21.59% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.32% ( 0.09) | 54.68% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.16% |
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