SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
53.82% ( -0.45) | 25.19% ( -0.07) | 20.99% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 46.7% ( 0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.85% ( 0.8) | 55.14% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( 0.66) | 76.39% ( -0.66) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( 0.14) | 20.49% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.02% ( 0.22) | 52.97% ( -0.22) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.73% ( 1.02) | 41.26% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.21% ( 0.89) | 77.79% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 13.4% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.81% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.99% |
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