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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
MD

Stevenage
2 - 3
MK Dons

Thompson (45+1' og.), Effiong (66' pen.)
Wildin (52'), Vincelot (64')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Morris (32'), Bird (38', 84')
Freeman (37'), Kasumu (90')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Stevenage and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawMK Dons
29.64%25.48%44.88%
Both teams to score 53.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3%49.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29%71.71%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19%30.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92%67.08%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51%55.48%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 29.64%
    MK Dons 44.87%
    Draw 25.48%
StevenageDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.64%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 7.76%
1-3 @ 4.59%
0-3 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 2.7%
1-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 44.87%


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