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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Reading had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Reading |
53.55% ( -0.18) | 22.57% ( 0.04) | 23.88% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.76% ( -0.03) | 41.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.36% ( -0.03) | 63.64% ( 0.04) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( -0.07) | 15.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.78% ( -0.14) | 44.22% ( 0.15) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( 0.11) | 30.78% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( 0.12) | 67.05% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 53.55% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 23.88% |
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