MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 18:59:36
SM
Thursday, March 28
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SL
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
FT

Stoke
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Surridge (45'), Souttar (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chester (90+4' og.)
Batty (33'), Hill (65'), Matete (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawFleetwood Town
46.53%26.5%26.97%
Both teams to score 49.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82%55.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58%76.42%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31%23.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19%57.8%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26%35.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48%72.51%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.53%
    Fleetwood Town 26.97%
    Draw 26.49%
Stoke CityDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 8.78%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.53%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.71%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 26.97%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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