Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
