Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.27%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Rotherham United
36.27%	28.38%	35.35%

Both teams to score 46.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.37%

59.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.04%

79.96%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.61%

31.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.24%

67.76%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02%

31.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56%

68.44%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 36.27%

Rotherham United 35.35%

Draw 28.37%

Stoke City	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.27%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.37%	0-1 @ 11.44% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 6.52% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.35%