Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
