SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
31.74% ( -0.04) | 25.81% ( -0) | 42.45% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% ( 0.01) | 50.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% ( 0.01) | 72.17% ( -0.01) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.03) | 29.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.34% ( -0.03) | 65.66% ( 0.03) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( 0.02) | 23.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.48% ( 0.04) | 57.52% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.74% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 42.44% |
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