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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
LL

Strasbourg
2 - 2
Lens

Sylla (18'), Diarra (60' pen.)
Santos (22'), Doukoure (41')
FT(HT: 1-2)
N'Zola (5'), Diouf (44')
Chavez (38'), Said (41'), Medina (64'), N'Zola (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-0 Nice
Saturday, September 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Lens

While Lens have been the superior team in this fixture in recent times, their form in the lead-up to this match has been far from convincing. Strasbourg would have received a major boost from last week's victory over Marseille and we feel they will be able to take something from this match as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLens
30.88% (0.89 0.89) 26.27% (0.427 0.43) 42.84% (-1.32 -1.32)
Both teams to score 51.99% (-0.914 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.55% (-1.383 -1.38)52.44% (1.38 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.88% (-1.201 -1.2)74.12% (1.197 1.2)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)31.33% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)67.69% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (-1.247 -1.25)24.28% (1.244 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (-1.795 -1.8)58.64% (1.792 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 30.88%
    Lens 42.84%
    Draw 26.27%
StrasbourgDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.455 0.46)
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.12% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.408 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.62% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 42.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-3 Strasbourg
Saturday, September 21 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Angers
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-3 Strasbourg
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Rennes
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-0 Nice
Saturday, September 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-0 Lyon
Sunday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Lens
Sunday, September 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-0 Lens
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Conference League
Last Game: Lens 2-0 Brest
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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