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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Marienlyst Stadion

Stromsgodset
2 - 3
Brann

Tomasson (38'), Pau Vilaseca Ardraa (90+2')
Kristensen Dahl (65'), Melkersen (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Finne (20'), Valsvik (21' og.), Kartum (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Odd 2-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Stromsgodset 0-2 SK Brann

Buoyed by their victory in the Conference League qualifiers, Brann will head into Sunday's tie with sky-high confidence as they look to break their Marienlyst Stadion hoodoo. Stromsgodset's form is currently nothing to write home about and we are backing the Bergens stolthet to come away with a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.

Result
StromsgodsetDrawSK Brann
32.21% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 23.33% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.47% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.25% (0.012 0.01)38.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.94% (0.012 0.01)61.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Stromsgodset Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)23.72% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)57.85% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19% (0.033000000000001 0.03)17.81% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.45% (0.055 0.05)48.55% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stromsgodset 32.21%
    SK Brann 44.47%
    Draw 23.32%
StromsgodsetDrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 7.55% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.37% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 44.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Odd 2-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 0-1 Tromso
Sunday, July 21 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 Stromsgodset
Saturday, July 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 1-1 Sandefjord
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 0-0 Stromsgodset
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 1-1 Odd
Sunday, June 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 Brann
Thursday, July 25 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-1 Brann
Saturday, July 20 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 1-1 Haugesund
Saturday, July 13 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-1 Brann
Sunday, July 7 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 0-0 Stromsgodset
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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