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SL
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Liberty Stadium
CC

Swansea
0 - 1
Cardiff

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Flint (8')
Morrison (45+1'), Vaulks (81'), Brown (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
32.1%28.43%39.47%
Both teams to score 46.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.82%60.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.63%80.37%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52%34.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81%71.19%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29%29.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23%65.77%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 32.09%
    Cardiff City 39.47%
    Draw 28.41%
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 32.09%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 7.54%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 39.47%

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