SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Morecambe |
58.68% ( -0.14) | 21.51% ( 0.07) | 19.8% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( -0.25) | 41.49% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.11% ( -0.26) | 63.89% ( 0.26) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% ( -0.12) | 13.84% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.79% ( -0.25) | 41.21% ( 0.25) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( -0.09) | 34.67% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.6% ( -0.09) | 71.39% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.8% |
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