Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
47.73% ( 0.1) | 24.92% ( -0.05) | 27.35% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.16% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.37% ( 0.17) | 48.63% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.25% ( 0.16) | 70.75% ( -0.16) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.59% ( 0.11) | 20.41% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.15% ( 0.18) | 52.85% ( -0.18) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.05% ( 0.05) | 31.95% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( 0.05) | 68.4% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.73% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.35% |
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