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League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
AS

Swindon
1 - 2
Accrington

Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
54.16% (-0.186 -0.19) 22.04% (0.061 0.06) 23.8% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 60.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (-0.138 -0.14)38.8% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (-0.145 -0.15)61.11% (0.147 0.15)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)14.35% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78% (-0.208 -0.21)42.22% (0.209 0.21)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (0.033000000000001 0.03)65.53% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.16%
    Accrington Stanley 23.8%
    Draw 22.03%
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.22% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 23.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Harrogate
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Tranmere
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-2 Swindon
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two


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