European Championship | Quarter-Finals

Jul 2, 2021 at 5pm UK

Saint Petersburg Stadium

Switzerland
1 - 1
Spain

Spain win 3-1 on penalties

Shaqiri (68')
Widmer (67'), Gavranovic (120+1')
Freuler (77')

FT
(aet)

Zakaria (8' og.)
Laporte (90+3')

Luis Enrique hails Unai Simon as Spain reach Euro 2020 semi-finals

Euro 2020 sets incredible new own goals record

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%).

Result
Switzerland	Draw	Spain
28.64%	26.86%	44.5%

Both teams to score 49.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.36%

55.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.2%

76.79%

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.35%

34.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.62%

71.37%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12%

24.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51%

59.48%

Score Analysis

Switzerland 28.64%

Spain 44.5%

Draw 26.86%

Switzerland	Draw	Spain
1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.19% Total : 28.64%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.34% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.41% Total : 44.5%