Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
