SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 69.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.91%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.41%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tanzania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Mongolia |
69.27% ( -0.08) | 20.92% ( 0.04) | 9.81% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 34.3% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.06% ( -0.02) | 57.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.36% ( -0.01) | 78.64% ( 0.02) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.1% ( -0.03) | 15.9% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.87% ( -0.06) | 45.13% ( 0.06) |
| Mongolia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.79% ( 0.08) | 59.21% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.76% ( 0.04) | 90.24% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tanzania | Draw | Mongolia |
| 1-0 @ 17.31% 2-0 @ 15.91% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.11% 4-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 69.26% | 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.92% | 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 9.81% |
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