Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.43%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tenerife in this match.

Result
Tenerife	Draw	Alcorcon
53.07% ( 1.08)	27.81% ( 0.16)	19.12% ( -1.24)

Both teams to score 37.86% (

-1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.62% (

-1.52)

65.38% (

1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.84% (

-1.07)

84.16% (

1.07)

Tenerife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82% (

-0.2)

25.18% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1% (

-0.27)

59.9% (

0.27)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.6% (

-2.34)

49.39% (

2.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.76% (

-1.71)

84.23% (

1.71)

Score Analysis

Tenerife 53.06%

Alcorcon 19.12%

Draw 27.8%

Tenerife	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 17.15% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.92% Total : 53.06%	0-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.68) 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.34% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.12%