Tobol are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable first leg for Ferencvaros, but we are finding it difficult to back against the Hungarian outfit, who should be able to claim an advantage ahead of the return fixture on July 13.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
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