Toluca
3 - 1
America

Estrada (8'), Lopez (11'), Canelo (73')
Lopez (18'), Torres (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Aguilera (49' pen.)
Valdez (34'), Sanchez (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Club America
26.67%	23.93%	49.4%

Both teams to score 56.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18%

44.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82%

67.18%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.52%

30.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.31%

66.69%

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.77%

18.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.74%

49.27%

Score Analysis

Toluca 26.67%

Club America 49.41%

Draw 23.92%

Toluca	Draw	Club America
2-1 @ 6.68% 1-0 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.67%	1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 9.56% 0-1 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 5.43% 0-3 @ 4.57% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.5% Total : 49.41%