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Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Nov 30, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
0 - 2
America


Pereira (80'), Helinho (90+4')
Pereira (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruiz (49' og.), Martin (72')
Juarez (29'), Aguirre (32')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 2-0 Toluca
Thursday, November 28 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-0 Toluca
Thursday, November 28 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Club America had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Club America win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawClub America
43.09% (1.228 1.23) 24.26% (0.116 0.12) 32.64% (-1.343 -1.34)
Both teams to score 59.48% (-0.876 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (-0.951 -0.95)43.04% (0.953 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (-0.94900000000001 -0.95)65.44% (0.949 0.95)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (0.14999999999999 0.15)20.14% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.59% (0.242 0.24)52.41% (-0.24 -0.24)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (-1.237 -1.24)25.52% (1.239 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (-1.723 -1.72)60.38% (1.725 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 43.09%
    Club America 32.64%
    Draw 24.25%
TolucaDrawClub America
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.142 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.378 0.38)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.332 0.33)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.193 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.213 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: America 2-0 Toluca
Thursday, November 28 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-0 America
Sunday, November 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Toluca
Thursday, November 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Club Leon
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
Monday, October 28 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 5-0 Puebla
Wednesday, October 23 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-0 Toluca
Thursday, November 28 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 America (2-3 pen.)
Friday, November 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-0 America
Sunday, November 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Pachuca
Thursday, November 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-5 America
Saturday, November 2 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Monterrey
Monday, October 28 at 2.05am in Liga MX


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