Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Club America had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Club America win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Club America |
43.09% ( 1.23) | 24.26% ( 0.12) | 32.64% ( -1.34) |
Both teams to score 59.48% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.96% ( -0.95) | 43.04% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.56% ( -0.95) | 65.44% ( 0.95) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% ( 0.15) | 20.14% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.59% ( 0.24) | 52.41% ( -0.24) |
Club America Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.47% ( -1.24) | 25.52% ( 1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.62% ( -1.72) | 60.38% ( 1.73) |
Score Analysis |
Toluca | Draw | Club America |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.64% |
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