SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Yeovil Town |
27.45% ( 0.02) | 25.19% ( -0) | 47.35% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( 0.01) | 49.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( 0.01) | 71.71% ( -0.01) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( 0.02) | 32.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% ( 0.02) | 68.95% ( -0.03) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( -0.01) | 21.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% ( -0.01) | 53.79% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.45% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.35% |
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