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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 11, 2021 at 4pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
B

Tondela
1 - 3
Belenenses

Gonzalez (3')
Martinez (33'), Almeida (36'), Olabe (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cassierra (20', 59'), Cardoso (39' pen.)
Varela (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
TondelaDrawBelenenses
37.22%28.61%34.17%
Both teams to score 45.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49%60.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.38%80.62%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76%31.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42%67.58%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79%33.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18%69.82%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 37.22%
    Belenenses 34.17%
    Draw 28.6%
TondelaDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.6%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.17%

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