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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 17
Jul 22, 2021 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
NY

Toronto
1 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Priso-Mbongue (62')
Pozuelo (72'), Priso-Mbongue (81'), Soteldo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Klimala (46')
Edwards (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawNew York Red Bulls
42.63%25.85%31.53%
Both teams to score 53.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56%50.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63%72.37%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5%23.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46%57.54%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13%29.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03%65.97%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 42.62%
    New York Red Bulls 31.53%
    Draw 25.84%
TorontoDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 7.36%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 42.62%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.48%
1-2 @ 7.42%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.53%

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