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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5
Aug 22, 2020 at 1am UK
BMO Field
VW

Toronto
1 - 0
Vancouver

Laryea (15')
Fraser (36'), Piatti (84'), Pozuelo (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rose (55')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Vancouver Whitecaps.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 14.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
65.81%19.21%14.97%
Both teams to score 54.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.55%39.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.21%61.79%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81%11.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.31%35.69%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.97%39.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.25%75.75%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 65.81%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 14.97%
    Draw 19.21%
TorontoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 7.2%
4-0 @ 4.19%
4-1 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-2 @ 1.85%
5-0 @ 1.84%
5-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 65.81%
1-1 @ 9%
2-2 @ 4.64%
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.21%
1-2 @ 4.23%
0-1 @ 4.11%
0-2 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.45%
1-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.97%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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