SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
69.81% ( -0.33) | 17.74% ( 0.2) | 12.45% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.57% ( -0.6) | 38.43% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% ( -0.64) | 60.72% ( 0.64) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% ( -0.24) | 9.9% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.2% ( -0.56) | 32.8% ( 0.56) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.95% ( -0.18) | 42.05% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.52% ( -0.15) | 78.48% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 2-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.77% Total : 69.81% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.74% | 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 12.45% |
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