SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Inter Milan |
27.58% ( 0.01) | 23.11% ( -0.02) | 49.31% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.47% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.6% ( 0.09) | 40.39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.23% ( 0.09) | 62.77% ( -0.09) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( 0.05) | 27.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% ( 0.07) | 63% ( -0.07) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( 0.04) | 16.59% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.6% ( 0.07) | 46.39% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.58% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 49.31% |
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