SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Lecce |
48.09% ( -0.18) | 24.74% ( 0.07) | 27.17% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52% ( -0.26) | 47.99% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.83% ( -0.24) | 70.16% ( 0.23) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( -0.18) | 20% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.8% ( -0.28) | 52.19% ( 0.28) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( -0.06) | 31.75% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( -0.06) | 68.18% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 48.09% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.17% |
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