Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
