With just three league wins between them all season, confidence will be fragile in both camps when Udinese host Hellas Verona, so a single goal could prove enough to seal victory. An overdue win in front of the Fruili faithful would lift the hosts further clear of the drop zone; deepening their visitors' woes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
1) 
-0.21) 
