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UN
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Arena L'viv
KN

Ukraine
1 - 1
Kazakhstan

Yaremchuk (20')
Zinchenko (89'), Marlos (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Muzhikov (59')
Alip (6'), Abiken (36'), Muzhikov (43'), Vorogovskiy (62'), Karimov (70'), Pokatilov (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
UkraineDrawKazakhstan
62.02%21.29%16.7%
Both teams to score 51.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52%45.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18%67.82%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89%14.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26%41.74%
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.49%40.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.88%77.12%
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 62.01%
    Kazakhstan 16.7%
    Draw 21.29%
UkraineDrawKazakhstan
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 6.47%
4-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.37%
5-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 62.01%
1-1 @ 10.11%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 21.29%
0-1 @ 5.17%
1-2 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.7%

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