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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Sep 19, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
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Union Berlin
1 - 3
Augsburg

Bulter (75')
Trimmel (9'), Griesbeck (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vargas (41'), Gregoritsch (82'), Hahn (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawAugsburg
40.81%25.73%33.46%
Both teams to score 54.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6%49.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56%71.44%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05%23.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.82%58.18%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9%28.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23%63.77%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 40.81%
    Augsburg 33.46%
    Draw 25.73%
Union BerlinDrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 9.62%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.81%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.54%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.46%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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