SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
27.81% ( 0.48) | 25.69% ( -0.07) | 46.5% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.46% ( 0.59) | 51.54% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.66% ( 0.51) | 73.34% ( -0.51) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( 0.69) | 33.13% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( 0.75) | 69.73% ( -0.75) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.07) | 22.15% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( 0.1) | 55.54% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.47% Total : 27.81% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.5% |
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