Velez Sarsfield
3 - 2
Aldosivi

Almada (22', 82'), Martin Lucero (68' pen.)
Mancuello (76'), Ortega (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cerro (10'), Cauteruccio (90')
Iniguez (36'), Cerro (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Aldosivi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Aldosivi
62.19%	21.03%	16.78%

Both teams to score 52.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.8%

44.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.42%

66.57%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.35%

13.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.18%

40.82%

Aldosivi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.36%

39.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.68%

76.31%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 62.18%

Aldosivi 16.78%

Draw 21.03%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Aldosivi
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 6.59% 4-0 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.93% Total : 62.18%	1-1 @ 9.97% 0-0 @ 5.41% 2-2 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.03%	0-1 @ 5% 1-2 @ 4.61% 0-2 @ 2.32% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2% Total : 16.78%