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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Nov 25, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 0
Deportivo Cali

Almada (74', 84')
Brizuela (90+4'), De La Fuente (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Colorado (75'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Velez Sarsfield and Deportivo Cali.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Deportivo Cali had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Deportivo Cali win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawDeportivo Cali
52.44%26.94%20.62%
Both teams to score 41.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.55%61.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.67%81.33%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17%57.83%
Deportivo Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.67%45.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8%81.2%
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 52.44%
    Deportivo Cali 20.62%
    Draw 26.93%
Velez SarsfieldDrawDeportivo Cali
1-0 @ 15.47%
2-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 8.81%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 4.23%
4-0 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 10.74%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 8.5%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 3.36%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 20.62%


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