Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.26%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
