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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 12.30am UK
 
BN

Venezuela
1 - 3
Brazil

Ramirez (11')
Bello (80'), Hernandez (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marquinhos (71'), Barbosa (85' pen.), Antony (90+5')
Marquinhos (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 15.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.26%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawBrazil
15.05%24.06%60.89%
Both teams to score 39.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.28%58.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.75%79.25%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.31%50.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.87%85.13%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87%19.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23%50.76%
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 15.05%
    Brazil 60.88%
    Draw 24.06%
VenezuelaDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 6.59%
2-1 @ 3.7%
2-0 @ 2.24%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 15.05%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 3.06%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 16.03%
0-2 @ 13.26%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-3 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 4.97%
0-4 @ 3.02%
1-4 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-5 @ 1%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 60.88%

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