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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
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Hellas Verona
0 - 2
Atalanta


Ceccherini (27'), Dawidowicz (28'), Sturaro (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Malinovskyi (33' pen.), Zapata (42')
Toloi (60'), Romero (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 12.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAtalanta BC
12.48%16.39%71.13%
Both teams to score 57.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.41%31.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.91%53.08%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.59%37.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.81%74.19%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.14%7.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.16%27.84%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 12.48%
    Atalanta BC 71.13%
    Draw 16.39%
Hellas VeronaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.61%
1-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 1.51%
2-0 @ 1.42%
3-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 12.48%
1-1 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 4.6%
0-0 @ 2.94%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.39%
0-2 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-3 @ 8.07%
1-3 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.48%
0-4 @ 5.13%
1-4 @ 5.05%
2-3 @ 3.9%
0-5 @ 2.61%
1-5 @ 2.57%
2-4 @ 2.48%
2-5 @ 1.26%
0-6 @ 1.11%
1-6 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 71.13%

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