SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 56.21%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.94%) and 3-1 (6.82%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | HamKam |
56.21% ( 0.15) | 20.43% ( -0.03) | 23.36% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 65.76% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.48% ( 0.04) | 31.52% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47% ( 0.04) | 53% ( -0.04) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.66% ( 0.05) | 11.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.97% ( 0.11) | 36.02% ( -0.11) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( -0.07) | 25.83% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% ( -0.09) | 60.79% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | HamKam |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.13% 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 56.21% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 23.36% |
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