SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 61.57%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 19.28% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.65%) and 3-1 (7.34%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Rosenborg |
61.57% ( 0.49) | 19.15% ( -0.12) | 19.28% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 64.1% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.06% ( -0.03) | 30.94% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.68% ( -0.04) | 52.32% ( 0.04) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.19% ( 0.11) | 9.8% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.43% ( 0.25) | 32.57% ( -0.25) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( -0.37) | 28.93% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.19% ( -0.46) | 64.81% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Rosenborg |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.64% 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 61.57% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.15% | 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.08% Total : 19.28% |
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