Malmo would have been frustrated not to make their extra man count for more in the first leg, but a fit-again and in-form Christiansen wearing the armband is a recipe for success for the visitors.
The Allsvenskan champions can expect a hostile atmosphere at Vikingsvollur, but their recent spate of goal-laden showings can help them end the Vikingur dream, even if the Icelandic hosts can make things interesting with a goal on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
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