Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Campo Do Calvario
Paulo Oliveira Neto (45+3'), Miguel Maio Gomes (89')
Augusto Martins de Carvalho (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bobo Mendes (75'), Ricardo Reis Gomes (79')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Vila Real and Atletico Arcos.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vila Real win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atletico Arcos had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vila Real win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Atletico Arcos win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vila Real would win this match.
| Result |
| Vila Real | Draw | Atletico Arcos |
55.68% ( 0.06) | 26.07% ( -0.03) | 18.24% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.58% ( 0.03) |
| 38.91% ( 0.06) | 61.09% ( -0.06) |
| 18.94% ( 0.05) | 81.06% ( -0.05) |
| 77.85% ( 0.05) | 22.14% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.47% ( 0.07) | 55.53% ( -0.08) |
| 52.12% ( -0) | 47.87% ( 0) |
