SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
45.81% ( 1.29) | 24.3% ( -0.2) | 29.89% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( 0.37) | 44.4% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( 0.36) | 66.77% ( -0.36) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( 0.7) | 19.52% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.59% ( 1.14) | 51.41% ( -1.14) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( -0.54) | 27.95% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% ( -0.69) | 63.58% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.1% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.89% |
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