Villarreal
2 - 1
Salzburg

Moreno (40', 89' pen.)
Costa (69')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Berisha (17')
Vallci (20'), Mwepu (53'), Daka (55'), Adeyemi (80')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Villarreal and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
33.02%	26.61%	40.37%

Both teams to score 51.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.82%

53.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.25%

74.75%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75%

30.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58%

66.42%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.11%

25.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12%

60.87%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 33.02%

Red Bull Salzburg 40.37%

Draw 26.61%

Villarreal	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.02%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.37%