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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 11
May 28, 2021 at 4.10pm UK
Vitebsky Central Sport Complex

Vitebsk
5 - 0
Smorgon

Wanderson (15'), Carioca (31'), Matveenko (49', 67'), Chervyakov (77')
Chervyakov (73'), Skitov (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Savostyanov (43'), Ignatenko (68'), Yatskevich (90')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Vitebsk and Smorgon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.

Result
VitebskDrawSmorgon
61.8%22.77%15.44%
Both teams to score 44.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.44%53.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.93%75.07%
Vitebsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1%16.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.05%46.95%
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.98%47.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.5%82.5%
Score Analysis
    Vitebsk 61.79%
    Smorgon 15.44%
    Draw 22.76%
VitebskDrawSmorgon
1-0 @ 14.13%
2-0 @ 12.55%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 5.62%
4-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.12%
5-0 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 61.79%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.76%
0-1 @ 6%
1-2 @ 4.02%
0-2 @ 2.26%
1-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 15.44%

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